I like to throw down a few shekels here and there when I’m watching sports. It keeps things lively. My unit is pretty modest and I don’t do any hedging or worry about value picks or anything like that. Since I know a lot of you out there only really care about golf because it can have big payouts, I’ll run through a few of the props and give my daily fantasy picks for the British Open. All of my odds are what I’m currently seeing on Bovada and prices are from Draft Kings at 8 hours before the start time
Will there be a hole in one?
No (-115), there will not.
Will there be a playoff?
Yes (+300), I think there will be. If this truly is going to be a course that the golfers will be able to bomb, then I think there will be a collection of low scores. The last time the Open was played here, there was a playoff after Sergio Garcia and Padraig Harrington went -7 to force a playoff. I think there is a strong chance we see Brooks Koepka, Dustin Johnson, Rory McIlroy, and a few others coming in to push to a playoff at somewhere around -12.
Will there be a double eagle?
Yes (+1800), I’m a huge sucker for this bet. With only two par 5s on the course, we’re looking at a maximum of 8 attempts per player at a double eagle. The good news is that holes 6 and 14 go in opposite directions, so assuming we don’t get a cross-wind, the wind will be at the players’ backs for at least one of the holes. At one of the largest payouts in the list of props, I’d save a little room in the bankroll that Dustin of Jon Rahm will try to go hammer time on one of these.
Odds to win
After Dustin Johnson’s top 10 finishes in the other two majors plus the fact that his game seemingly suits Carnoustie, it’s easy to see why he is the favorite, but he really hasn’t wowed me on the old school links courses. He had a T49 at St. Andrews in 2015 and a T54 last year at Royal Birkdale. I just think at +1200, there are other picks more worthwhile if you want to have a full range of bets on the board.
I really like all of the guys at +2200. Tommy Fleetwood has been very comfortable with a handful of top 10’s this year. Jon Rahm is a bomber and tends to play well when he gets into a rhythm. The media has been somewhat quiet about Brooks Koepka as they tend to do because of the apparent difficulty of winning two majors in a row, but with how good of shape he is in and his ability to keep it in the fairway at Shinnecock, I don’t see why he wouldn’t be a great pick to win.
Then of course, there’s Jordan Spieth. His last win was a calendar year ago at the British Open and he has expressed a great interest in going back to back. Now the question is whether or not he believes he can do it. His putter has been a weakness this year when it seemed to drain 20 footers on command in 2015. I think we will know within the first 9 holes if he has a shot at retaining the Claret Jug.
Daily Fantasy Picks
I’m not great at daily fantasy. I know it’s not just based on how they finish, but how they get there, so I’m just gonna give you my picks and let you laugh if you want.
- Zach Johnson
- Martin Kaymer
- Brooks Koepka
- Francesco Molinari
- Justin Rose
- Gary Woodland